I believe you need to include the thickness of the belt ( approximately it's radius ) into the pulley diameter ( plus "gap" if the pulley profile does not match the belt profile ) when calculating theoretical drive ratios. The rotation is not transmitted from the belt/pulley contact point, but from ( approximately ) the centre of the belt. So in Mr Datsun's excellent drawing above, if drawn to scale, the effective diameter would be closer to 14.62mm than 13.33mm. Similar adjustment is necessary for the subplatter effective diameter. Theoretically, a replacement pulley designed using the "contact point" radius, would, other things beng equal, be too large and cause fast running.
The belt is compressed on one side a little in use, and so the cross section is not a pure circle, hence "approximately". Varying this compression by moving the motor back and forth, or the belt stretching with age, will affect speed.
2% fast is almost a 9Hz increase on an orchestra tuned to A=440Hz. Pitch inflation will sound exciting, and louder, but in some circles, it would be an
abomination too far.
.... A = 440 Hz is the only official standard and is widely used around the world. Many orchestras in the United Kingdom adhere to this standard as concert pitch. In the United States some orchestras use A = 440 Hz, while others, such as New York Philharmonic and the Boston Symphony Orchestra, use A = 442 Hz. Nearly all modern symphony orchestras in Germany and Austria and many in other countries in continental Europe play with tune to A = 443 Hz
Paul